
The Western World is on the cusp of losing the initiative in the struggle against violent radical Islam. With today's
revelations detailing China's secret efforts to help Iran obtain a nuclear bomb, we are reminded that we have months before Iran crosses the nuclear threshold. When that moment passes, Western nations will lose any and all significant tools in their arsenal for effectively restraining Iran and Iran's proxy armies.
As it is now, the West hardly employs any diplomatic muscle at all. We fail to stiffen existing economic sanctions or impose new ones. We refuse to increase pressure on the Russians (or Chinese) who assist Iran's nuclear program and provide legal and diplomatic cover for their ally. European states are unwilling or incapable of restricting their own trade with Iran. President Obama is so accommodating to the Mullahs, he's gutting our missile defense capability (a decision which is incidentally a slap in the face of our ally, Poland), and the U.S. pressures Israel to use a self-defeating "restraint" when provoked militarily by Iran's proxies Hezbollah and Hamas.
The West behaves in this submissive manner even before Iran acquires the bomb! At this point, Iran's bargaining position should be at its weakest: They don't yet have the bomb, their allies are exposed, and they're suffering limited anti-government insurrections. Despite this, we've exhausted our supply of carrots to offer the madmen of Tehran, and we've precluded any use of sticks. Clearly, the West has needlessly and counterproductively resigned itself to living with a nuclear-armed Iran, and all the fun that comes with that. Who are the madmen now?
In a few months, perhaps up to a year, Iran will announce that it has enough highly enriched uranium to produce a nuclear bomb. Shortly thereafter, they'll test a nuclear device, much like North Korea did in 2006. Even now, Iran is essentially free to do as it pleases. The West simply lacks the will to restrain it. With the bomb in its possession, Iran will be free to populate the entire planet with terror cells, undermine Iraq, Lebannon, and Pakistan, kill Americans in Iraq and Afghanistan, and provoke wars in Israel - and the West will only be able to watch from afar and hope nothing cataclysmic occurs.
In the meantime, Sunni Arab states (Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, etc.) will suddenly find it in their national interest to arm themselves with their own nuclear deterrent. This will provoke a nuclear arms race among the biggest terror sponsoring states in the world.
Geopolitically, this strengthens the hand of our adversaries in Russia and China, who have already pulled off a similar coup in North Korea. The West is increasingly becoming a passive actor on the world stage, and the world stage is becoming a truly dangerous place - far more dangerous than we've ever seen. No longer do massive superpowers checkmate each others' deadly nuclear arsenals. Now, every rogue state in the world is increasingly more free to obtain their own nuclear arsenals - exponentially increasing the odds that one day, soon, a nuclear attack will occur.
Given this, I cannot imagine how a simple U.S. or Israeli surgical strike against Iran's nuclear facilities - even a partially successful strike - could be worse than doing nothing.